cyd@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 1 year agoNate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.www.natesilver.netexternal-linkmessage-square78fedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkNate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.www.natesilver.netcyd@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 1 year agomessage-square78fedilink
minus-squareMaggoty@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up0·1 year agoYeah well there was also that nice October surprise. Prediction models don’t work well with stuff like that.
minus-squarerodneylives@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up0·11 months agoAnd yet, that is what those models claim to do. If the possibility of late-breaking events is not included in the model then the model is flawed.
Yeah well there was also that nice October surprise. Prediction models don’t work well with stuff like that.
And yet, that is what those models claim to do. If the possibility of late-breaking events is not included in the model then the model is flawed.