I just can’t bring myself to watch democrats have their hopes dashed on the shoals of Florida again. Harris is doing great but she isn’t Obama and this isn’t 2008. Florida is a red state.
That being said spending there isn’t a bad idea. Lots of local pickup opportunity and forces the GOP to spend money on a safe state.
In a couple of weeks Harris-Wallz will isolate states that are close or have a good chance of turning. They do this with statistical analysts and on the ground reporting. They might even do it to promote the down ballot. Florida and Texas will both be looked at. You’ll know by that and the money they pour into those states
Virginia is a blue state at this point. They need to keep the pressure on but if the democrats lose Virginia this election Georgia and NC are utter disasters and the election isn’t even competitive. They haven’t gone red since 2004 and northern VA all but decides its fate at this point.
I’m going to try to explain this another way because I think you’re skimming and missing the subtext/implied point.
Grouping VA/GA/NC does not make sense to me because if the democrats lose VA the issues are massive and they’re having an historically bad election, whereas losing GA/NC is a very possible scenario and doesn’t mean the election is lost.
It’s worth mentioning recreational pot and abortion are on the ballot this November as well. There’s very likely to be a larger progressive presence at the polls in FL
In 2020 Florida was only won by 3.5%. That isn’t large enough to be considered a safe state. Now you could argue that it has shifted a good deal one way, and that may be true. It’s also worth mentioning Florida has about 0% chance at being the tipping point state. If Florida is even close to turning blue Harris already won, and the closer sunbelt and southern states like NC and Georgia likely have already gone blue as well.
If anything boosting Democrat enthusiasm in the state means more to helping lower elections than it would have an affect on the top of the ticket.
I just hope the democrats don’t make the same mistake they did in 2016, where their internal polling said they could get Texas, so they spent a ton of resources there instead of the swing states she actually needed. Biden ran his campaign in the right places, and Harris should do the same and not get distracted by a juicy red state.
I just can’t bring myself to watch democrats have their hopes dashed on the shoals of Florida again. Harris is doing great but she isn’t Obama and this isn’t 2008. Florida is a red state.
That being said spending there isn’t a bad idea. Lots of local pickup opportunity and forces the GOP to spend money on a safe state.
In a couple of weeks Harris-Wallz will isolate states that are close or have a good chance of turning. They do this with statistical analysts and on the ground reporting. They might even do it to promote the down ballot. Florida and Texas will both be looked at. You’ll know by that and the money they pour into those states
North Carolina is a better bet than either of them IMO especially given the situation when them governor’s race
North Carolina is a no brainer for a barn storm visit. Virgina, North Carolina, Georgia.
Virginia is a blue state at this point. They need to keep the pressure on but if the democrats lose Virginia this election Georgia and NC are utter disasters and the election isn’t even competitive. They haven’t gone red since 2004 and northern VA all but decides its fate at this point.
Georgia and North Carolina are tied per the polls
Virgina is where a lot of government employees live. They may not like the idea of Trump firing them. Currently, it’s Harris by 4.
I’m going to try to explain this another way because I think you’re skimming and missing the subtext/implied point.
Grouping VA/GA/NC does not make sense to me because if the democrats lose VA the issues are massive and they’re having an historically bad election, whereas losing GA/NC is a very possible scenario and doesn’t mean the election is lost.
Losing VA would be shocking.
It’s worth mentioning recreational pot and abortion are on the ballot this November as well. There’s very likely to be a larger progressive presence at the polls in FL
In 2020 Florida was only won by 3.5%. That isn’t large enough to be considered a safe state. Now you could argue that it has shifted a good deal one way, and that may be true. It’s also worth mentioning Florida has about 0% chance at being the tipping point state. If Florida is even close to turning blue Harris already won, and the closer sunbelt and southern states like NC and Georgia likely have already gone blue as well.
If anything boosting Democrat enthusiasm in the state means more to helping lower elections than it would have an affect on the top of the ticket.
This doesn’t contradict anything I said tbh
I think there is fuckery with the numbers being reported. I don’t think you can trust the officials there not to be playing some game.
I just hope the democrats don’t make the same mistake they did in 2016, where their internal polling said they could get Texas, so they spent a ton of resources there instead of the swing states she actually needed. Biden ran his campaign in the right places, and Harris should do the same and not get distracted by a juicy red state.