FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker, which was originally published on July 8 and updated on July 16, shows Joe Biden with a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.
According to the tracker, Biden is favored to win in 534 out of 1,000 of FiveThirtyEight’s simulations of how the election could go, while Trump wins in 462. The poll also shows that the simulations indicate that Biden is on track for a three-point win.
The polling website said its forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,” such as economic conditions, state partisanship and incumbency.
It’s from Newsweek, who also reported that the assassination attempt hadn’t boosted Trump, based on a poll taken before the attempt. Their owners are right-wing and since they bought them, their credibility has taken a hit. I’m not sure what they’re playing at, but it’s probably a safe assumption that they are manipulating the news to help the Republicans.
I could believe this. The RNC was this week, so the media circus was all over it and making them look good because they’re getting paid to do so.
Now they spread word to convince people in swing states that Trump’s chances of winning are in jeopardy to try to get new sympathizers in swing states out to the polls on election day.