FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker, which was originally published on July 8 and updated on July 16, shows Joe Biden with a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.

According to the tracker, Biden is favored to win in 534 out of 1,000 of FiveThirtyEight’s simulations of how the election could go, while Trump wins in 462. The poll also shows that the simulations indicate that Biden is on track for a three-point win.

The polling website said its forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,” such as economic conditions, state partisanship and incumbency.

  • PepperoniNipple@lemmynsfw.com
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    0
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    These headlines/news never reach republicans. We are in two complete different Internets.

    And as OP said already: these news do NOT matter. If anything, they are bad, they come across as headlines that attempt to make a lot of voters feel “lazier to vote”, to “not vote at all” because “why even try if we are already going to easily win as you can see?”

    Be really careful when falling for these cheap psychology tricks. It’d be best to spam social medias with polls that put Biden a few points behind Trump actually imo, because those are the kind of headlines that inspire you to vote to break the tiny difference. These, as I said, make you believe you don’t have to vote at all because it’s going to be an “easy win”, when actually, it isn’t.

    STOP FALLING FOR HEADLINES

    • John Richard@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      1 year ago

      So the news should lie to people to help Biden win? Do you ever stop to actually think about what you’re saying?