If you think in terms of “lanes” AOC is the only left wing potential candidate on there, 21% support is actually not persuasive in her odds to actually be the candidate.

I feel very good about her chances to run the Bernie playbook and end with a top 3 amount of delegates but in an actual primary the lanes would clear up as people drop out and it is hard to see her consolidating support from like, Gavin Newsome.

I am frankly shocked that the trans stuff apparently works, well enough to be a main thrust of an ad campaign. Like I fully get there’s a subset of Americans who are not comfortable with the concept, dislike trans people, think it’s immoral or whatever. But it’s such a big deal to you that we need a particular political party in charge so they can ban stuff? I just can’t relate to that. But it’s common enough that they run these ads, it’s either firing up true believers or actually converting people. Somehow.

Stop. According to his favorite pollsters he’s the favorite to win, and he’s a narcissist, and there’s plenty of time to flee between November and January if he was going to.

Damn and after all Donald Trump did for him.

Very funny that this KKK leader endorsed the Green Party candidate because she was the only one anti-Israel. Something something horseshoe theory I guess.

A majority of Americans didn’t watch the first one so I’m not sure we can take this literally.

Sort of seems like “do you want a balanced budget” …yes of course. “Do you want to raise taxes or cut spending to achieve that?” …no I would never want either of those options.

People like the idea of debates but they don’t impact the race unless someone truly bombs.

Also I don’t understand this in the context of the post either.

First point “she’s not REALLY an underdog, look at how she polls!”

Every other point “she is polling poorly in key demographics”

When Biden was in the race someone posted their rank order for who should be president:

Living Biden>Biden Corpse>Trump Corpse>Living Trump

“Nearing toss-up status” aka Trump is still winning above the margin for error. Most likely if Harris wins FL it would be after winning PA, MI, WI, NC, GA, AZ, and thus easily the election.

More accurately, a vote for Stein is a vote for whichever major party candidate the voter wouldn’t have voted for. In most cases, someone voting for the Green Party would vote for Harris, so it’s a vote for Trump.

That isn’t a moral judgement, it’s the facts of a two party system. -1 vote for Harris = +1 vote for Trump, no other votes matter.

And that’s not telling someone you don’t consider their political beliefs. Considering their political beliefs, they should vote for the major party candidate that they agree with the most, or they will effectively be voting for the one they agree with least.

That’s not the approach with Trump supporters because Trump is the major party candidate they agree with most, by definition. If anything one should try to get Trump supporters to vote 3rd party, Libertarian or for RFK or whoever.

Bad headline because it implies Harris or “the media” did something wrong, when it’s just his typical schtick of demanding someone be jailed for something that isn’t illegal.

5 day RTO is a stealth layoff. This is a feature, not a bug.

There’s zero evidence that it’s happening “often” so I’m mostly using the space to point out that there’s more to “church” in America than the white evangelical politics-forward churches they see represented on TV. Those pastors are on TV because they are the exception.

Every church I’ve ever been to has been carefully non-partisan on candidates. It’s not just tax status, they don’t want to cause parishioners to feel unwelcome because they need the attendance.

I know some churches are being overly political, sure, but I absolutely believe the majority are doing the right thing.

Not all of them

Churches are social organizing spaces, they have been involved in politics since the very beginning. As long as they are doing it the right way, by encouraging voting but not voting for a particular candidate, and running voter registration drives, driving people to the polls, that’s good. We want more people to vote.

It’s not hypocritical to once be skeptical and then learn that something is OK. That’s called learning.

I blame people for being obtuse when they were complaining with zero evidence that there was a problem, I don’t blame people at all for working legally to increase voting.

She’s obviously Bernie’s heir apparent and will replace him as The Left Wing Democrat to come in 2nd in the primaries now that he’s too old and she’s old enough.

NYC is 7.4% of the US economy. I’m saying that to agree with you, that’s bigger than Florida, bigger than every state other than CA, TX, and (obviously) NY.

He was found guilty of 37 felonies. Pretty hard to keep the “it’s a conspiracy they’ll never find him guilty” point when “they” (the justice system) already did.

Gotta say, I don’t think we need Chappell Roan to weigh in. It’s one thing for like Taylor Swift who is a major cultural figure. We don’t need every person with a hit song to weigh in.

If it puts NC in play at a presidential level, that’s where it gets interesting. Only 3 fewer electoral votes than Pennsylvania, same number as Georgia. Could be a big swing.