

I am frankly shocked that the trans stuff apparently works, well enough to be a main thrust of an ad campaign. Like I fully get there’s a subset of Americans who are not comfortable with the concept, dislike trans people, think it’s immoral or whatever. But it’s such a big deal to you that we need a particular political party in charge so they can ban stuff? I just can’t relate to that. But it’s common enough that they run these ads, it’s either firing up true believers or actually converting people. Somehow.
If you think in terms of “lanes” AOC is the only left wing potential candidate on there, 21% support is actually not persuasive in her odds to actually be the candidate.
I feel very good about her chances to run the Bernie playbook and end with a top 3 amount of delegates but in an actual primary the lanes would clear up as people drop out and it is hard to see her consolidating support from like, Gavin Newsome.