Respondents rated the economy as the top issue facing the country, and some 44% said Trump had the better approach on addressing the “cost of living,” compared to 38% who picked Harris. Among a range of economic issues the next president should address, some 70% of respondents said the cost of living would be the most important, with only tiny shares picking the job market, taxes or “leaving me better off financially.” Trump had more support than Harris in each of those areas as well, although voters by a margin of 42% to 35% thought Harris was the better candidate to address the gap between wealthy and average Americans.
It would be nice to press these people on why they think that, though it’s probably just “that’s what I heard.”
It’s not that complicated. Inflation is 20% since Trump left office, it was only 8% for Trump. Unemployment was good during both terms, other than COVID lockdown periods. Trump had good wage growth numbers, Biden only has ok numbers for yoy, not across his whole term.
Polymarket has Trump ahead by 6 points. Don’t shoot the messenger, I’m signing up for a passport today just in case.
We’d be happy to have you in Australia mate.
God we need more normal people here. Happy to ship out cookers and loonies up to the US as a trade
It’s a coin flip, just like it has been the entire time.
If you’re wondering why her, her campaign, and DNC leadership keep pretending it’s a coincidence the more conservative she becomes the worse she polls…
It’s because they’re all making a lot of money from donors in return for all her conservative shifts.
Presidential campaigns “cost” over a billion dollars now. That’s a lot of fat to trim off for a lot of people.
And with the DNC valuing donation bundlers over any other skill, it’s seems like it should be pretty obvious they care more about grifting money than getting Harris elected.
Anyone that says it takes over a billion dollars to beat trump shouldn’t be running a campaign for local dog catcher. But they’ll never stop trying to get more money. Instead of just trying to get more votes.
The people running the party have different goals than the voters in the party
Straight from the article:
Respondents rated the economy as the top issue facing the country, and some 44% said Trump had the better approach on addressing the “cost of living,” compared to 38% who picked Harris. Among a range of economic issues the next president should address, some 70% of respondents said the cost of living would be the most important, with only tiny shares picking the job market, taxes or “leaving me better off financially.” Trump had more support than Harris in each of those areas as well, although voters by a margin of 42% to 35% thought Harris was the better candidate to address the gap between wealthy and average Americans. Trump appeared buoyed by widespread concerns over immigration, currently at its highest level in America in over a century. Some 53% of voters in the poll said they agreed with a statement that “immigrants who are in the country illegally are a danger to public safety,” compared to 41% who disagreed. Voters had been more closely divided on the question in a May Reuters/Ipsos poll, when 45% agreed and 46% disagreed.
I have a dream that one day we will be permitted to read and digest one of these articles without you feeling the compulsive need to preempt that to tell us what you think we’re supposed to believe, and to steer us into one of your fever dreams about some other tangentially-related topic. Wouldn’t that be lovely.
…
90% sure we’ve went over this before…
X% of voters includes Republicans that will never vote D under any circumstances
To motivate people who will vote D. We need to focus on what they want.
Did it work this time?
Speak up, laddy. We didn’t hear you the first 8,900 times.
Do you want to just insult people?
Or are you willing to abide by this subs rules and have a reasonable discussion?
His comment was no more insulting than yours, IMHO.
That question goes just as much for you as it does for anyone else here, and my thoughts here is that you can’t do it.
I’m all for holding the Democrats accountable and pushing them Left, but as long as the US is a right-of-centre country, it’s going to be an uphill battle, and there are plenty of “I don’t like Trump as a person, but I like Democrats policies worse, so I’ll vote for the asshole” votes out there, even more than there are ‘Dems aren’t left enough for me!’ votes. I don’t fault the Dems for trying to appeal to those, and push the ‘I don’t like Trump as a person’ higher than the ‘I like Dem policies less’. But man, Biden/Harris has been fighting for issues close to me; Climate Change, Minority Rights, Student Loan reforms, and Women’s rights.
And Biden is doing all of this in the face of stiff and unified opposition by Team Red. They WANT him to fail, and want anyone Left of them (which includes distractions like the Greens and Socialists) to utterly fail. And they are not above convincing our own voters that the failure is inside the house when it’s really imposed on us by the Republicans.
There is a fact for this election, that has been a fact nation-wide since the founding of this country. One of two parties will win. It used to be the Federalists and the Democratic-Republicans, then the Democratic-Republicans and the Whigs, and finally, the Republicans and the Democrats, which has been a constant through another four phases of American politics. Nobody has come close to upsetting this system after the death of the Whigs and birth of the Republican party.
Jill Stein has a probability of winning the election of less than 0.1% according to 538 and other poll agrigators. She hasn’t taken more than 10% in a single poll, let alone more than Trump’s share. Despite her party’s perennial status as a contender for the Presidency, that party hasn’t won 10% in a single state in a single election, let alone gotten an EV, to say nothing of coming close to 270 EVs which it takes to win the Presidency. No one else has, either, in the past 20 years. You have to go to 1992 to see anyone win more than 10% with Ross Perot, who poached 9.8m votes from team Red compared to the previous election and created roughly another 10m votes for himself (while Clinton picked up 3 million more than Dukakkis). And despite this 18% vote count, Perot got NO EVs, because he couldn’t close the gap in a single state over the winner. And that’s the challenge all Third Party candidates have.
Let’s get real here. You will see one of two people take the Oath of Office next January. That person won’t be Stein. It won’t be Oliver. Alas, it won’t even be my personal favourite, Vermin Supreme. One of those people’s names will be Kamala Harris. The other will be Donald Trump. There. Are. No. Other. Options. FPTP. It sucks, but it’s what we got.
I personally think that I can have a conversation with Kamala Harris. She’s the bus that gets me closest to where I want to go. I don’t love her, but I don’t have to (and really shouldn’t as that would piss my wife off…). I just need her in office instead of the other choice.
Trump is not somebody I can have a conversation with. He goes nowhere near where I want to go. I’d rather take the bus to Boulder than Colorado Springs for a variety of reasons.
If you are like me and don’t want Trump in office, there is only one choice under our system of government to ensure that doesn’t happen. Hold your nose and vote Kamala Harris. Hopefully you showed up to the Primaries to vote for the most Leftist Democrat, because THAT is how you influence the government. Vote for the Liberal in the primary and the Democrat in the General. That’s how the Tea Party captured the Republican Party and turned it MAGA. And that’s how you’re going to inject some Green into the Blue.
But if you don’t want Harris in office, you can go get fucked, because that means you want Trump in office. Fuck off with that and get lost.
You can still vote for someone even if you think we deserve a better candidate, I’ve been doing it for decades at this point…
There’s no reason to insult people or act like you can’t criticize the least worst option while still holding your nose and voting for them.
The majority of Dem voters shouldn’t be shocked by that. We’ve been doing it for a long time…
I can count the people I know who wanted Biden or Hillary as president on one hand but virtually everyone i know still voted for both of them in the last two elections.
It would just be a lot easier to stop trump if we ran a candidate that Dem voters wanted to be president.
That shouldn’t be a relevation either
I think there’s a time and a place for criticizing our candidates. The time is during the candidate’s term and in the Primaries. During the General, it’s a bad time to do so. And you have to realise: You don’t always get what you want. You say you want a candidate that Dem voters want to be President. The opportunity for that to happen is in the primaries. Unfortunately, the time for that has come and gone.
Biden won those primaries. The voters for the Democratic Party, who ALL get a say, put Biden up front. And people hammered Biden, including bad actors from the other party as well as from foreign countries, until Biden had no room for error. When he flubbed the first debate, we used the rules for succession, with him stepping down and his VP taking the top spot, like what would happen if he was rendered incapable of serving while he was in office.
I return to my key point. Trump or Harris are our choices today. No Third Party will win. As long as you are voting for Harris, criticise away. Just know that I will push back against any post that seems to suggest our candidate is horribad and shouldn’t be voted for. Not voting for Harris means we get Trump.
Some 53% of voters in the poll said they agreed with a statement that “immigrants who are in the country illegally are a danger to public safety,” compared to 41% who disagreed. Voters had been more closely divided on the question in a May Reuters/Ipsos poll, when 45% agreed and 46% disagreed.
Ahhh good to know some things never change. Good old hateful racist assholes Americans being asshole Americans. I hate living here with these fucking ghouls. The only dangerous people are actual American citizens…
That 53% of voters includes ever trump voter in the country.
So if it’s every trump supporter, it’s only 10% of people who aren’t voting R no matter.
Republicans pander to the majority of their base. And Dems also pander to the Republican base.
It’s one of the biggest and most obvious problems with our political system. When both parties keep moving right, it’s obviously going to result in the country overall moving to the right.
It’s really not complicated, but some people love to misrepresent it.
Which is why we need to be smart.
We need to cancel the electoral votes of the South, until they sort their shit out, call it Reconstruction 2.0.
We have to fix this cancer on our nation if we ever hope to function again, and the longer we push it off, the worse the metastasis gets.
the Democratic chase for the centrist unicorn stuffs us all into a very cramped and increasingly hot basket.
That’s certainly one way to look at it, and around here you’ll find a lot of folks are eager to pat you on the back for embracing that kind of lazy, myopic conclusion. There is, however, much more to the story:
https://www.paschal-law.com/blog/the-rise-of-anti-immigrant-sentiment-around-the-world/
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2352250X22001531
Given that the trend we’re seeing is also prevalent in most western democracies, we’re left with two distinct possibilities:
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Every western democracy is half-full of racist assholes.
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There’s something going on that’s more nuanced than naked racial animus.
Which seems more likely seems to depend a great deal on direct, lived experience, as well as education and age. It also seems to depend on the health of the broader economy. Unfortunately, pointing those factors out doesn’t tend to elicit as many upvotes as claiming everyone’s a flaming, degenerate racist.
Thank you for those links and insightful take. I had wondered about this myself - with your take I can see a way forward now.
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I really would like to see those 43%.
Like, after years and years of Trump upping the ante in presenting himself as the biggest turd alive, there are still people that sincerely think “yeah, I’d like him as president - he represents the values i stand in for”…?
I would just like to see the people, because a minority of them will be your typical MAGA-Puppet.
A lot of these morons see politics as a team sport. You might as well ask a Packers fan to support the Vikings or a United fan to get behind City.
Most of them are completely isolated from all news or political information, except for the local radio they hear on their way to work, and Fox News.
It’s hard to believe, but millions of people simply haven’t heard about how shitty Trump is.They do have one liberal on Fox News that has laid out most of Trump’s bigger oopsies at one point or another but they apparently ignore every single word she says.
The moment something negative is said about Trump, they will tune out. They’ll proudly tell you this too.
“yeah, I’d like him as president - he represents the values i stand in for”…?
I have many extended family members among the 43. They dismiss any criticism against Trump as “fake news” and “liberal media agenda.” Nothing will ever make them not vote Trump. It’s wild.
Have they listened to Trump speak? Because that was enough for me
They love how he speaks.
I’m in a large city in Iowa on the edge of town. If I drive 5 minutes down the road I will see for sure one small Trump sign, one small Harris sign, a farm house with a few Trump signs of various sizes, then another with a few large ones held up with fence posts. That’s places that I know of off the top of my head, but if I drive further I will not see another Harris sign unless I get down town residential. They are disgustingly all over.
Reuters - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Reuters:
MBFC: Least Biased - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Very High - United Kingdom
Wikipedia about this sourceSearch topics on Ground.News
I hate these hyperbolic headlines describing some tiny poll movement in a single poll well within the margin of error, describing it a some definitive clear change in support.
Here’s the times sienna poll today for instance, another high quality pollster, where she went from tied to now 3% ahead and is leading for the first time in that poll since July.
If the race is truly a 3 point gap right now, and the margin of error is plus or minus 4 percent, you’re going to see polls with her everywhere from one behind to 7 ahead. It’s a bad idea to hyper scrutinize or draw big conclusions from tiny changes in one poll.
